COP19 analysis: Outcomes from Warsaw--and what it means for Paris
- 28 November 2013
LONDON: As the COP19 climate talks come to an end, our Senior Policy Manager, Damian Ryan, writes his annual post-COP briefing, to analyze whether the summit's outcomes are enough to propel us toward achieving a global climate deal at COP21 in 2015.
The 19th annual UN climate conference (COP19) concluded in Warsaw early on Sunday, November 24, more than 30 hours after its official closing—continuing what has become a familiar feature of international climate negotiations.
Although delivering a set of relatively low ambition decisions, Warsaw produced enough to keep countries on track to agreeing a new global climate deal at COP21 in Paris in 2015—provided that substantive progress is made in the coming 12 months and by COP20 in Lima, Peru next year. Whether negotiators did enough to keep the world on a path to less than 2°C of warming is far less certain, however.
This briefing takes a short look at COP19, including the general atmosphere of the meeting, the main outcomes and the likely road ahead.
In the briefing, Damian Ryan writes of the pressure to keep below a 2 degrees Celsius temperature rise: "This reality underlines why 2014 is likely to be such a crucial year, a point repeatedly made by UN climate chief Christiana Figueres. With luck, the supporting initiatives noted above and the increased activity in the UNFCCC will deliver greater progress than that seen in 2013. Without this, the hopes of an ambitious global deal and the likelihood of keeping below 2°C are likely to slip from the world’s collective grasp."